Edward Bagley: Working Hypotheses

This is a follow up to Richard and Ester Bagley Part II - Wild Speculation.

I've been spending a lot of time looking in the Susquehanna Company as a possible explanation to the contradictions in the history of Edward Bagley. There are three Bagley families in Providence Pennsylvania - James Bagley, Jesse Bagley, and Richard Bagley living on the land of Elias Bagley. This has led to some interesting leads:

• Jenks Corey Bagley (ca 1795 to after 1884) - Jenks was an early settler in Washtenaw County Michigan.₁ He had a wife named Phoebe₂ - a brother named Jesse₃ who moved to Port Huron. Jenks and Phoebe had at least six children.₄ He was born in Luzerne  County.₅ He is likely the son of Jesse Bagley and Phoebe Bagley.₆ According to his application for a pension the Bagley family moved from Pennsylvania to Western New York and then to Michigan.₇ The name Jenks Bagley stongly links the family to North Providence/Smithfield Rhode Island -Jencks and Bagley families were neighbors and leaders in that part of Rhode Island for at least three generations.
• Eason Bagley (ca 1760 to before 1840) and Esther (Pepper) Bagley (ca 1780 to March 24, 1862) - Eason Bagley was an early settler of Bradford County, Pennsylvania.₈ He was in the county by 1812 and died before 1862. The last record we have of him is the 1830 federal census. ₉. His wife Esther Pepper was born in New York.₁₀ It is likely Esther is his second wife.₁₁ Some people believe Eason and Esther had a son born about 1810 named Edward and Eason's father is named Elias. If this speculation is true it is intriguing for my family. Eason could be the Richard Bagley living on Elias Bagley's property in Providence, Luzerne, Pennsylvania before 1800. This would give us a Richard and Esther living in New York or Pennsylvania, with a family history in Connecticut. 1810 is one possible birthdate for Edward Cyrenus Bagley.₁₂ Another possibility is Edward Bagley (1810 - 1874) who settled in Earlville, La Salle, Illinois.₁₃ Edward's eldest son Burton Bagley was born in 1834 in Bradford County PA.₁₄ However it is not clear if Eason and Esther Bagley were in Pennsylvania prior to 1812. 
• Edward Bagley (ca 1807, Connecticut), US Army Enlistment 1829₁₅ - Edward Bagley enlisted in the United States 2nd Infantry Company F in Rochester New York. His age is listed as 22. He deserted January 23, 1831. He was a common laborer. He did not list the town he was born in. There is no clear record of where he served. The 2nd Infantry was responsible for building and manning forts on the Great Lakes. If this is Edward Cyrenus Bagley this offers a different story than the family's traditional story. Instead of Edward Bagley and family moving to New Brunswick to log, Edward Bagley enlists in the US Army, gets tired of it and leaves to get a job across the boarder. He works for a couple of years - establishes himself in the local community and marries. It would explain the lack of records in New Brunswick prior to his receiving land and marrying Julia Ann Grant in 1833.

¹"history of washtenaw county, michigan - Google Books." history of washtenaw county, michigan - Google Books. N.p., n.d. Web. 10 Oct. 2017. <https://books.google.com/books?id=D4_OWVctHXoC&pg=PA493&lpg=PA493&dq=jenks+bagley+washtenaw+county&source=bl&ots=khcFv9ylaT&si>
²Phebe/Phoebe is possibly Phebe Allen, the daughter of George Allen. Phoebe Bagley is listed as the mother of Jenks' son Seneca. "Michigan Deaths and Burials, 1800-1995," database, FamilySearch (https://familysearch.org/pal:/MM9.1.1/FHR6-558 : 9 December 2014), Seneca Bagley, 21 Oct 1902; citing Ypsi, Washtenaw, Michigan, reference v 3 p 50; FHL microfilm 1,019,063. Ancestry.com. Michigan, Death Records, 1867-1950 [database on-line]. Provo, UT, USA: Ancestry.com Operations, Inc., 2015.(https://search.ancestry.com/cgi-bin/sse.dll?indiv=1&dbid=60872&h=753039462&ssrc=pt&tid=116259953&pid=230157354423&usePUB=true)Phoebe is living with Jenks in 1850. "United States Census, 1850," database with images, FamilySearch (https://familysearch.org/pal:/MM9.1.1/MF8P-H46 : 12 April 2016), Phebe Bagley in household of Jenks Bagley, Superior, Washtenaw, Michigan, United States; citing family 1051, NARA microfilm publication M432 (Washington, D.C.: National Archives and Records Administration, n.d.). Pheobe was born in NY and Pheobe Allen from NY, the daughter of George Allen married a Bagley. Letter to Mabel A. Warner from R. Stanton Avery Special Collections, New England Historical Genealogical Society. (https://www.ancestry.com/mediaui-viewer/tree/116259953/person/230157354423/media/d8cf746a-0bd8-4554-8731-cf61a9ee6901?usePUBJs=true).
³On Jenks Bagley's pension application, there are references to his nephew Warren Bagley of Port Hurson. Warren's father is Jesse Bagley. "Page 25 War of 1812 Pension Files - Fold3." Page 25 War of 1812 Pension Files - Fold3. N.p., n.d. Web. 21 Oct. 2017. (https://www.fold3.com/image/247/280434301).
⁴The children we can identify are sons: Seneca, Allen, Jesse and Osceola, and daughters: Carolin Matilda and Mary. Jackson and Edward Bagley and Martha Wilcox are living with Jenks Bagley in 1850 and may be his and Pheobe's children. "United States Census, 1850," database with images, FamilySearch (https://familysearch.org/pal:/MM9.1.1/MF8P-H4D : 12 April 2016), Jenks Bagley, Superior, Washtenaw, Michigan, United States; citing family 1051, NARA microfilm publication M432 (Washington, D.C.: National Archives and Records Administration, n.d.).
⁵"history of washtenaw county, michigan - Google Books." history of washtenaw county, michigan - Google Books. N.p., n.d. Web. 10 Oct. 2017. (https://books.google.com/books?id=D4_OWVctHXoC&pg=PA493&lpg=PA493&dq=jenks+bagley+washtenaw+county&source=bl&ots=khcFv9ylaT&si)
⁶There is a Phebe Bagley, aged 73, living in the Jenks Bagley household in 1850. Jesse Bagley is listed in the early Michigan census records in Ypsilanti living near Jenks.
⁷Page 25 War of 1812 Pension Files - Fold3." Page 25 War of 1812 Pension Files - Fold3. N.p., n.d. Web. 21 Oct. 2017. (https://www.fold3.com/image/247/280434301).
⁸"Pioneer and patriot families of Bradford County, Pennsylvania. " Pioneer and patriot families of Bradford County, Pennsylvania for. N.p., n.d. Web. 7 Nov. 2017. (https://www.ancestry.com/interactive/20781/dvm_LocHist006867-00308-0/593?indiv=try&h&db). "Annual, Bradford County Historical Society : co...." Annual, Bradford County Historical Society : co.... N.p., n.d. Web. 7 Nov. 2017. (https://archive.org/stream/annualbradfordc00pagoog#page/n254/mode/2up).
⁹T"United States Census, 1830," database with images, FamilySearch (https://familysearch.org/pal:/MM9.1.1/XHPR-7D8 : 12 August 2017), Eason Bailey, Canton, Bradford, Pennsylvania, United States; citing 131, NARA microfilm publication M19, (Washington D.C.: National Archives and Records Administration, n.d.), roll 145; FHL microfilm 20,619.
¹⁰In the 1850 federal census. Esther is living with her son James. "United States Census, 1850," database with images, FamilySearch (https://familysearch.org/pal:/MM9.1.1/M44G-SWP : 12 April 2016), Esther Bagley in household of James Bagley, Le Roy, Bradford, Pennsylvania, United States; citing family 49, NARA microfilm publication M432 (Washington, D.C.: National Archives and Records Administration, n.d.).
¹¹Pioneer and Patriot Families of Bradford lists Amy Bagley wife of William Pepper as the daughter of Eason Bagley. It also lists two sons, James who married Johanna Stickland and is probably Esther's oldest child and William who is not clearly identified. If the birth date on Amy's grave is correct, Amy was born in 1779 making her about the same age as Esther Pepper. This would mean Eason would need to be at least twenty years older, making Amy her step-daughter. Esther may also be related to her step-daughter's husband - based on his age William Pepper may have been her brother or cousin.
¹²There is disagreement about Edward's birth date. Pioneer Overland Travel puts his birth date in 1809. "Utah Mormon Pioneer Overland Travel Database, 1847-1868," database, FamilySearch (https://familysearch.org/pal:/MM9.1.1/QL8S-G93Y : 25 July 2017), Edward Cyrenius Bagley, 25 Sep 1855; from "Mormon Pioneer Overland Travel: 1847-1868," database, > The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints (https://history.lds.org/overlandtravels/ : 2004-). Family Histories put in 1815. The 1860 Federal Census puts it in 1810. "United States Census, 1860", database with images, FamilySearch (https://familysearch.org/pal:/MM9.1.1/MH2W-WLK : 28 July 2017), Edwd Bagley, 1860. Because of his marriage in 1833, I am inclined to believe the earlier dates.
¹³United States Census, 1840," database with images, FamilySearch (https://familysearch.org/pal:/MM9.1.1/XHB8-TM1 : 15 August 2017), Edward Bagley, LaSalle, Illinois, United States; citing p. 150, NARA microfilm publication M704, (Washington D.C.: National Archives and Records Administration, n.d.), roll 63; FHL microfilm 7,643."United States Census, 1850," database with images, FamilySearch (https://familysearch.org/pal:/MM9.1.1/M8RS-MSK : 12 April 2016), Edward Bagly, Earl, La Salle, Illinois, United States; citing family 50, NARA microfilm publication M432 (Washington, D.C.: National Archives and Records Administration, n.d.). "United States Census, 1860", database with images, FamilySearch (https://familysearch.org/pal:/MM9.1.1/MXHC-KDL : 30 September 2017), Edward Bagley, 1860. "United States Census, 1870," database with images, FamilySearch (https://familysearch.org/pal:/MM9.1.1/M64B-FDW : 12 April 2016), Edward Bagley, Illinois, United States; citing p. 40, family 301, NARA microfilm publication M593 (Washington D.C.: National Archives and Records Administration, n.d.); FHL microfilm 545,742.
¹⁴"Find A Grave Index," database, FamilySearch (https://familysearch.org/ark:/61903/1:1:QK12-H6CH : 15 December 2015), Burton W. Bagley, 1898; Burial, Earlville, LaSalle, Illinois, United States of America, Precinct Cemetery; citing record ID 149727007, Find a Grave, http://www.findagrave.com. The source page contains a transcript of Burton's obituary from the Earlville Leader.
¹⁵Register of Enlistments in the U.S. Army, 1798-1914; (National Archives Microfilm Publication M233, 81 rolls); Records of the Adjutant General’s Office, 1780’s-1917, Record Group 94; National Archives, Washington, D.C.