It doesn't matter if you know the answer as long as you know the next question.
Friday, May 11, 2012
Fantasy Finance
I've been playing the Fantasy Finance game on Yahoo Finance sponsored by Ameritrade. The rules are simple - start with 100k in play money, buy publicly traded securities traded on the big exchanges, make the most play money in 12 weeks, win $5000, and Ameritrade reaches a large group of potential customers. Easy? Right...
I started in the middle of week 3 with $100000 in play money a proceeded to lose money climbing into the 40th percentile with a fairly conservative strategy. So how am I doing? I've lost money - I would have done better with just the 100k and the $100 per trading day you can earn by answering questions about market history. I'm in the 122 percentile. I've done better than most of the other players 60% of the time. I've done better than the S&P 17 times or 40% of the time.
So short answer - I can beat most aggressive day traders. I can't beat the market. I should probably invest in an index fund and move on.
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